Explore the official analytical calculations for all 48 qualified countries, ranked meticulously by championship likelihood. Track advancement milestones down to group win margins.
| Rank | Country | Group | Title Odds | Win Chance | Reach Final | Reach Semis | Reach Quarters | Win Group |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | Group H | +475 | 17.4% | 31.3% | 50.0% | 61.5% | 81.8% |
| 2 | France | Group I | +500 | 16.7% | 25.0% | 43.5% | 57.4% | 69.7% |
| 3 | England | Group L | +650 | 13.3% | 25.0% | 41.7% | 59.2% | 76.2% |
| 4 | Brazil | Group C | +800 | 11.1% | 20.0% | 35.7% | 54.5% | 78.7% |
| 5 | Argentina | Group J | +900 | 10.0% | 19.0% | 34.5% | 52.4% | 77.3% |
| 6 | Portugal | Group K | +1000 | 9.1% | 16.7% | 33.3% | 50.0% | 69.7% |
| 7 | Germany | Group E | +1400 | 6.7% | 15.4% | 27.8% | 43.5% | 75.6% |
| 8 | Netherlands | Group F | +2000 | 4.8% | 10.0% | 18.2% | 35.7% | 53.5% |
| 9 | Norway | Group I | +3000 | 3.2% | 7.7% | 15.4% | 27.8% | 26.7% |
| 10 | Belgium | Group G | +3500 | 2.8% | 7.7% | 16.7% | 40.0% | 69.7% |